Undefeated No More
In a league where most of the teams are garbage and only 3 of the 12 teams are above .500 (Yes, Seriously), a Week 5 matchup of undefeated teams is a welcome surprise. I thought about making the Jacob vs. Kanz matchup the game of the week, but I think you could not watch all of Sunday, and still not miss many fantasy points in that one. Hurricane Ditka vs. Return of Simba is the best matchup of the season thus far. Both teams are similar in that they have won quite a few close games. Carston has lead his team to 3 victories in which his team was a very average 6th or 7th highest scoring team in the league (Also, #1 in week 2). Visbara has had his team skating by in a similar fashion including winning a game in week 1 where he was the 8th highest scoring team. But as a certain GM once told me “The only team that counts is the one i’m going against this week”, look for a great matchup between these two well coached teams in Week 5.
Key Matchup: It has got to be the tight ends. Jordan Reed finally broke out of his shell in Week 4, catching 2 touchdowns from Redskins QB Captain Kirk and adding 9 receptions for 73 yards, giving ROS a much needed 28.3 fantasy points and moving Reed into his rightful spot as the #2 TE in Fantasy. This week, Reed plays a stout Ravens defense where the game is almost positively going to end in a weird 18-10 score. The Ravens have only given up 5.2 FPPG to opposing Tight Ends, so it could be tough sledding for Reed and Visbara. Hurricane Ditka brings Kyle Rudolph to the battle (who just had twins on Tuesday night, congrats to him on the sex). Rudolph has been a pleasant surprise this season as he has become a favorite target of QB Sam Bradford. He is averaging 14.8 FPPG this season and has done it in consistent fashion. WIth Rudolph playing the Texans, who have been equally as stout against opposing Tight ends as the Ravens ( Both teams have only given up 5.2 FPPG to opposing Tight Ends), it could be tough sledding for both star tight ends. Whichever one can overcome the difficult matchup, should give their fantasy teams a big edge in the matchup.
Carston should worry if: David Johnson does not start out the week on Thursday night with a good performance. Ditka has been carried a bit by their superstar running back who is averaging just over 20 fantasy points per game. With a matchup against a depleted 49ers defense, and with no Carson Palmer playing for the Cardinals, if Johnson doesn’t get off to a hot start, it would be seen as a big disappointment.
Mike should worry if: The perceived best defenses in the league are legit for another week. With Mike having matchups against the Vikings, Broncos, Eagles and Texans, it would be bad news for Simba if these defenses continued their trend of being fantasy killers throughout the first quarter of the season. Hell, even Matt Prater is going against the Philadelphia special teams unit who have been the NFL’s 2nd best against opposing kickers.
Carston will grin to a point of awkwardness if: The Texans and Vikings end in a 0-0 tie. With Will Fuller and Stefon Diggs dueling it out in Minneapolis, and the Hurricanes having minimal stake in the matchup, it would be ideal if there was as little scoring as possible
Mike will grin to a point of awkwardness if: Carston’s experiment of Deandre Washington turns out to be a complete failure. With Latavius Murray expected to miss this game against the Chargers, Ditka is taking a shot by playing the Raiders primary backup without any real knowledge of if he can play. And with the league’s #6 RB Isaiah Crowell sitting on Carston’s bench, it is a bold play to say the least.
The part where I predict whatever the Projection says: Mike wins 155-146